Match Analysis

CubavsBonaire

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

53%
20%
27%
Cuba winDrawBonaire win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.60
2.49Avg goals scored1.83
1.32Avg goals conceded1.99
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Cuba xG

Expected goals

1.6

Bonaire xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Cuba

Cuba

DDWWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Bonaire

Bonaire

WLLLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Cuba vs Bonaire?

Cuba is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Cuba's current form?

Cuba have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Cuba Win53%
Draw20%
Bonaire Win27%
BTTS72%
Over 2.575%