Match Analysis

El SalvadorvsJamaica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
23%
45%
El Salvador winDrawJamaica win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.96Avg goals scored1.48
2.46Avg goals conceded0.97
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

El Salvador xG

Expected goals

1.8

Jamaica xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

El Salvador

El Salvador

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win El Salvador vs Jamaica?

Jamaica is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is El Salvador's current form?

El Salvador have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

El Salvador Win32%
Draw23%
Jamaica Win45%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%