Match Analysis

El SalvadorvsSt. Martin

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
16%
69%
El Salvador winDrawSt. Martin win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
0.96Avg goals scored4.77
2.46Avg goals conceded0.47
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

El Salvador xG

Expected goals

2.9

St. Martin xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

6%

0–3

6%

1–1

6%

1–4

6%

Home

El Salvador

El Salvador

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win El Salvador vs St. Martin?

St. Martin is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is El Salvador's current form?

El Salvador have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

El Salvador Win15%
Draw16%
St. Martin Win69%
BTTS71%
Over 2.580%