Match Analysis

HaitivsCosta Rica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
21%
33%
Haiti winDrawCosta Rica win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
2.20Avg goals scored2.00
1.26Avg goals conceded1.40
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Haiti xG

Expected goals

1.7

Costa Rica xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Haiti

Haiti

LWWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Haiti vs Costa Rica?

Haiti is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Haiti's current form?

Haiti have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Haiti Win46%
Draw21%
Costa Rica Win33%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%