Match Analysis

JamaicavsHonduras

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
23%
29%
Jamaica winDrawHonduras win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
1.48Avg goals scored1.23
0.97Avg goals conceded1.48
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Jamaica xG

Expected goals

1.4

Honduras xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

7%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Honduras

Honduras

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jamaica vs Honduras?

Jamaica is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jamaica's current form?

Jamaica have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jamaica Win48%
Draw23%
Honduras Win29%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%