Match Analysis

MexicovsJamaica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
23%
37%
Mexico winDrawJamaica win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.48
0.00Avg goals conceded0.97
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Mexico xG

Expected goals

1.6

Jamaica xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Mexico

No data

Away

Jamaica

Jamaica

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mexico vs Jamaica?

Mexico is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Mexico Win40%
Draw23%
Jamaica Win37%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%