Match Analysis

MontserratvsNicaragua

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
14%
11%
Montserrat winDrawNicaragua win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.00
2.80Avg goals scored0.97
0.28Avg goals conceded3.45
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Montserrat xG

Expected goals

1.1

Nicaragua xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–0

7%

4–0

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Montserrat

Montserrat

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Nicaragua

Nicaragua

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Montserrat vs Nicaragua?

Montserrat is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Montserrat's current form?

Montserrat have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Montserrat Win75%
Draw14%
Nicaragua Win11%
BTTS63%
Over 2.578%