Match Analysis

NicaraguavsCosta Rica

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
20%
53%
Nicaragua winDrawCosta Rica win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.20
0.97Avg goals scored2.00
3.45Avg goals conceded1.40
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Nicaragua xG

Expected goals

2.3

Costa Rica xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Nicaragua

Nicaragua

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

WWLLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nicaragua vs Costa Rica?

Costa Rica is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nicaragua's current form?

Nicaragua have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nicaragua Win27%
Draw20%
Costa Rica Win53%
BTTS72%
Over 2.575%