Match Analysis

NicaraguavsMontserrat

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
17%
66%
Nicaragua winDrawMontserrat win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game2.00
0.97Avg goals scored2.80
3.45Avg goals conceded0.28
0–0–5Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Nicaragua xG

Expected goals

2.6

Montserrat xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

0–2

7%

1–1

7%

0–3

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Nicaragua

Nicaragua

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Away

Montserrat

Montserrat

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nicaragua vs Montserrat?

Montserrat is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nicaragua's current form?

Nicaragua have recorded 0W 0D 5L in their last 5 matches (0.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nicaragua Win17%
Draw17%
Montserrat Win66%
BTTS67%
Over 2.575%