Match Analysis

St. LuciavsBarbados

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
22%
35%
St. Lucia winDrawBarbados win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
2.25Avg goals scored2.52
0.94Avg goals conceded1.01
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

St. Lucia xG

Expected goals

1.7

Barbados xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

St. Lucia

St. Lucia

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Barbados

Barbados

WWDWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Lucia vs Barbados?

St. Lucia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Lucia's current form?

St. Lucia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Lucia Win43%
Draw22%
Barbados Win35%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%