St. Luciavs
Barbados
CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
St. Lucia xG
Expected goals
1.7
Barbados xG
70%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
8%
2–1
8%
2–2
7%
0–1
5%
1–0
5%
Home
St. Lucia
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Barbados
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win St. Lucia vs Barbados?
St. Lucia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is St. Lucia's current form?
St. Lucia have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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