Match Analysis

St. MartinvsBahamas

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

86%
8%
6%
St. Martin winDrawBahamas win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.20
4.77Avg goals scored0.77
0.47Avg goals conceded4.92
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

4

St. Martin xG

Expected goals

1.1

Bahamas xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

88%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

4–0

7%

4–1

7%

5–1

6%

2–0

5%

Home

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bahamas

Bahamas

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 4.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Martin vs Bahamas?

St. Martin is favored with a 86% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Martin's current form?

St. Martin have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 88%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Martin Win86%
Draw8%
Bahamas Win6%
BTTS65%
Over 2.588%