Match Analysis

St. MartinvsEl Salvador

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
12%
9%
St. Martin winDrawEl Salvador win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
4.77Avg goals scored0.96
0.47Avg goals conceded2.46
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

St. Martin xG

Expected goals

1.2

El Salvador xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

3–0

7%

4–1

7%

2–0

6%

3–2

5%

Home

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

El Salvador

El Salvador

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win St. Martin vs El Salvador?

St. Martin is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is St. Martin's current form?

St. Martin have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

St. Martin Win79%
Draw12%
El Salvador Win9%
BTTS67%
Over 2.583%