Match Analysis

US Virgin IslandsvsSt. Martin

CNL CONCACAF Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
17%
61%
US Virgin Islands winDrawSt. Martin win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
2.00Avg goals scored4.77
2.05Avg goals conceded0.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

US Virgin Islands xG

Expected goals

2.7

St. Martin xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

7%

1–1

6%

2–2

6%

2–3

6%

0–2

5%

Home

US Virgin Islands

US Virgin Islands

WLWWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

St. Martin

St. Martin

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

4.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win US Virgin Islands vs St. Martin?

St. Martin is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is US Virgin Islands's current form?

US Virgin Islands have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

US Virgin Islands Win22%
Draw17%
St. Martin Win61%
BTTS74%
Over 2.580%