Match Analysis

AC MilanvsFerencvaros

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
22%
45%
AC Milan winDrawFerencvaros win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
1.46Avg goals scored3.04
1.68Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.9

Ferencvaros xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–3

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Ferencvaros?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win33%
Draw22%
Ferencvaros Win45%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%