Match Analysis

AC MilanvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
AC Milan winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.00
1.46Avg goals scored1.36
1.68Avg goals conceded0.77
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

AC Milan xG

Expected goals

1.5

Sunderland xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AC Milan vs Sunderland?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is AC Milan's current form?

AC Milan have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AC Milan Win38%
Draw24%
Sunderland Win38%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%