Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsAC Milan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
20%
21%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.77Avg goals scored1.44
0.23Avg goals conceded1.69
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1.2

AC Milan xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win59%
Draw20%
AC Milan Win21%
BTTS61%
Over 2.564%