Match Analysis

AFC BournemouthvsSK Sturm Graz

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

59%
22%
19%
AFC Bournemouth winDrawSK Sturm Graz win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.00
2.77Avg goals scored0.41
0.23Avg goals conceded1.09
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected goals

1

SK Sturm Graz xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 0.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.1

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AFC Bournemouth vs SK Sturm Graz?

AFC Bournemouth is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AFC Bournemouth's current form?

AFC Bournemouth have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AFC Bournemouth Win59%
Draw22%
SK Sturm Graz Win19%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%