Match Analysis

AnderlechtvsSunderland

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
25%
33%
Anderlecht winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.46Avg goals scored1.36
0.81Avg goals conceded0.77
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Anderlecht xG

Expected goals

1.3

Sunderland xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Anderlecht vs Sunderland?

Anderlecht is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Anderlecht's current form?

Anderlecht have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Anderlecht Win42%
Draw25%
Sunderland Win33%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%