Ararat-Armeniavs
AZ Alkmaar
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Ararat-Armenia xG
Expected goals
2.3
AZ Alkmaar xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
0–2
7%
1–3
7%
0–1
6%
0–3
6%
Home
Ararat-Armenia
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 3.6
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?
Ararat-Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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