Match Analysis

Ararat-ArmeniavsNEC Nijmegen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
21%
48%
Ararat-Armenia winDrawNEC Nijmegen win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
0.59Avg goals scored2.00
3.64Avg goals conceded2.32
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–4–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Ararat-Armenia xG

Expected goals

2.2

NEC Nijmegen xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DWDDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ararat-Armenia vs NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ararat-Armenia's current form?

Ararat-Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ararat-Armenia Win31%
Draw21%
NEC Nijmegen Win48%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%