Match Analysis

AZ AlkmaarvsDinamo Zagreb

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
21%
24%
AZ Alkmaar winDrawDinamo Zagreb win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
2.37Avg goals scored1.19
0.59Avg goals conceded1.64
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AZ Alkmaar xG

Expected goals

1.2

Dinamo Zagreb xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?

AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AZ Alkmaar Win55%
Draw21%
Dinamo Zagreb Win24%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%