AZ Alkmaarvs
Dinamo Zagreb
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
AZ Alkmaar xG
Expected goals
1.2
Dinamo Zagreb xG
60%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
8%
2–0
8%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
Home
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Dinamo Zagreb
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.6
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?
AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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