AZ Alkmaarvs
SK Sturm Graz
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
AZ Alkmaar xG
Expected goals
1.1
SK Sturm Graz xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
9%
1–2
6%
3–0
6%
Home
AZ Alkmaar
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
SK Sturm Graz
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AZ Alkmaar vs SK Sturm Graz?
AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AZ Alkmaar's current form?
AZ Alkmaar have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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