Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

64%
20%
16%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
2.73Avg goals scored0.23
0.00Avg goals conceded1.68
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

0.9

Marseille xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win64%
Draw20%
Marseille Win16%
BTTS52%
Over 2.558%