Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsRB Salzburg

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
19%
16%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawRB Salzburg win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.73Avg goals scored1.04
0.00Avg goals conceded2.27
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

1.1

RB Salzburg xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

2–0

9%

1–0

8%

1–1

8%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Salzburg?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win65%
Draw19%
RB Salzburg Win16%
BTTS60%
Over 2.566%