Match Analysis

BenficavsAZ Alkmaar

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
22%
30%
Benfica winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
3.55Avg goals scored2.37
0.77Avg goals conceded0.59
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Benfica xG

Expected goals

1.5

AZ Alkmaar xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

2–0

6%

Home

Benfica

Benfica

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Benfica vs AZ Alkmaar?

Benfica is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Benfica's current form?

Benfica have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Benfica Win48%
Draw22%
AZ Alkmaar Win30%
BTTS67%
Over 2.568%