Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.8
Benfica xG
Expected goals
1.3
Celtic xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
3–0
6%
4–1
6%
Home
Benfica
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.5 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Celtic
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Benfica vs Celtic?
Benfica is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Benfica's current form?
Benfica have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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