Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
Benfica xG
Expected goals
1.1
Lech Poznan xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
2–0
8%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
3–0
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Benfica
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.5 / 0.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Lech Poznan
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.4 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
Benfica is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Benfica's current form?
Benfica have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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