Match Analysis

Celta VigovsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
21%
23%
Celta Vigo winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
1.19Avg goals scored0.59
1.36Avg goals conceded3.27
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Lillestrom xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Lillestrom?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win56%
Draw21%
Lillestrom Win23%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%