Celta Vigovs
Union St.-Gilloise
UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Celta Vigo xG
Expected goals
1.8
Union St.-Gilloise xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
0–1
7%
0–2
7%
2–1
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Celta Vigo
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Union St.-Gilloise
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.4
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Celta Vigo's current form?
Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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