Match Analysis

Celta VigovsUnion St.-Gilloise

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
23%
47%
Celta Vigo winDrawUnion St.-Gilloise win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.19Avg goals scored2.68
1.36Avg goals conceded0.36
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Celta Vigo xG

Expected goals

1.8

Union St.-Gilloise xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.4

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise?

Union St.-Gilloise is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celta Vigo's current form?

Celta Vigo have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celta Vigo Win30%
Draw23%
Union St.-Gilloise Win47%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%