Match Analysis

CelticvsCelta Vigo

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
23%
42%
Celtic winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
1.00Avg goals scored1.19
2.96Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Celtic xG

Expected goals

1.8

Celta Vigo xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Celtic

Celtic

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celtic vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celtic's current form?

Celtic have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celtic Win35%
Draw23%
Celta Vigo Win42%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%