Match Analysis

CelticvsMarseille

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
24%
34%
Celtic winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.00Avg goals scored0.23
2.96Avg goals conceded1.68
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Celtic xG

Expected goals

1.5

Marseille xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Celtic

Celtic

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Celtic vs Marseille?

Celtic is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Celtic's current form?

Celtic have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Celtic Win42%
Draw24%
Marseille Win34%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%