Match Analysis

Crystal PalacevsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
21%
43%
Crystal Palace winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
2.46Avg goals scored3.04
1.91Avg goals conceded0.82
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

2

Real Sociedad xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win36%
Draw21%
Real Sociedad Win43%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%