Match Analysis

Crystal PalacevsSparta Prague

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
22%
33%
Crystal Palace winDrawSparta Prague win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.60
2.46Avg goals scored1.27
1.91Avg goals conceded1.00
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

1.6

Sparta Prague xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

DDWLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Sparta Prague?

Crystal Palace is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win45%
Draw22%
Sparta Prague Win33%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%