Match Analysis

FerencvarosvsNK Celje

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
18%
19%
Ferencvaros winDrawNK Celje win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.40
3.04Avg goals scored0.82
1.00Avg goals conceded2.36
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Ferencvaros xG

Expected goals

1.3

NK Celje xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

NK Celje

NK Celje

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ferencvaros vs NK Celje?

Ferencvaros is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ferencvaros's current form?

Ferencvaros have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Ferencvaros Win63%
Draw18%
NK Celje Win19%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%