Match Analysis

Jagiellonia BialystokvsAnderlecht

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
24%
40%
Jagiellonia Bialystok winDrawAnderlecht win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.00
1.32Avg goals scored1.46
2.05Avg goals conceded0.81
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

Expected goals

1.6

Anderlecht xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Anderlecht

Anderlecht

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Anderlecht?

Anderlecht is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jagiellonia Bialystok's current form?

Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok Win36%
Draw24%
Anderlecht Win40%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%