Match Analysis

Jagiellonia BialystokvsArarat-Armenia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
20%
24%
Jagiellonia Bialystok winDrawArarat-Armenia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.32Avg goals scored0.59
2.05Avg goals conceded3.64
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

Expected goals

1.4

Ararat-Armenia xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.6

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

Jagiellonia Bialystok is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jagiellonia Bialystok's current form?

Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok Win56%
Draw20%
Ararat-Armenia Win24%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%