Match Analysis

Jagiellonia BialystokvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
22%
35%
Jagiellonia Bialystok winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.32Avg goals scored1.54
2.05Avg goals conceded2.19
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Jagiellonia Bialystok xG

Expected goals

1.7

Lyon xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Jagiellonia Bialystok

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Lyon?

Jagiellonia Bialystok is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Jagiellonia Bialystok's current form?

Jagiellonia Bialystok have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Jagiellonia Bialystok Win43%
Draw22%
Lyon Win35%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%