Match Analysis

JuventusvsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
22%
38%
Juventus winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
2.68Avg goals scored3.04
1.18Avg goals conceded0.82
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Juventus xG

Expected goals

1.8

Real Sociedad xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

Juventus

Juventus

DWDLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Juventus vs Real Sociedad?

Juventus is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Juventus's current form?

Juventus have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Juventus Win40%
Draw22%
Real Sociedad Win38%
BTTS70%
Over 2.570%