Match Analysis

Lech PoznanvsBayer Leverkusen

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
20%
61%
Lech Poznan winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.60
0.41Avg goals scored2.73
2.77Avg goals conceded0.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Lech Poznan xG

Expected goals

2.1

Bayer Leverkusen xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–1

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan

DLLDW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.4 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lech Poznan's current form?

Lech Poznan have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lech Poznan Win19%
Draw20%
Bayer Leverkusen Win61%
BTTS59%
Over 2.562%