Match Analysis

LillestromvsReal Sociedad

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
19%
60%
Lillestrom winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
0.59Avg goals scored3.04
3.27Avg goals conceded0.82
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Lillestrom xG

Expected goals

2.4

Real Sociedad xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

7%

0–2

6%

2–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lillestrom's current form?

Lillestrom have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lillestrom Win21%
Draw19%
Real Sociedad Win60%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%