Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Lyon xG
Expected goals
2
Bayer Leverkusen xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–1
7%
0–2
7%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
Home
Lyon
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Lyon vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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