Match Analysis

LyonvsCrystal Palace

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
21%
41%
Lyon winDrawCrystal Palace win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
1.54Avg goals scored2.46
2.19Avg goals conceded1.91
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.9

Crystal Palace xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Crystal Palace?

Crystal Palace is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win38%
Draw21%
Crystal Palace Win41%
BTTS72%
Over 2.573%