Match Analysis

LyonvsLillestrom

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

55%
20%
25%
Lyon winDrawLillestrom win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.54Avg goals scored0.59
2.19Avg goals conceded3.27
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Lyon xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lillestrom xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

Home

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lillestrom

Lillestrom

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lyon vs Lillestrom?

Lyon is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lyon's current form?

Lyon have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lyon Win55%
Draw20%
Lillestrom Win25%
BTTS67%
Over 2.570%