Match Analysis

MarseillevsCelta Vigo

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
25%
40%
Marseille winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.23Avg goals scored1.19
1.68Avg goals conceded1.36
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Marseille xG

Expected goals

1.5

Celta Vigo xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–0

6%

Home

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Marseille vs Celta Vigo?

Celta Vigo is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Marseille's current form?

Marseille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Marseille Win35%
Draw25%
Celta Vigo Win40%
BTTS59%
Over 2.555%