Match Analysis

NEC NijmegenvsLevski Sofia

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawLevski Sofia win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.60
2.00Avg goals scored1.18
2.32Avg goals conceded1.00
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

NEC Nijmegen xG

Expected goals

1.6

Levski Sofia xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DWDDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia

DDLLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?

NEC Nijmegen have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NEC Nijmegen Win41%
Draw23%
Levski Sofia Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%