Match Analysis

NEC NijmegenvsStade Rennais

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
22%
38%
NEC Nijmegen winDrawStade Rennais win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
2.00Avg goals scored1.55
2.32Avg goals conceded1.19
1–4–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

NEC Nijmegen xG

Expected goals

1.7

Stade Rennais xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

1–0

5%

Home

NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

DWDDD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 4D 0L

Away

Stade Rennais

Stade Rennais

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win NEC Nijmegen vs Stade Rennais?

NEC Nijmegen is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is NEC Nijmegen's current form?

NEC Nijmegen have recorded 1W 4D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

NEC Nijmegen Win40%
Draw22%
Stade Rennais Win38%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%