Match Analysis

RB SalzburgvsAC Milan

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
RB Salzburg winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.60
1.04Avg goals scored1.46
2.27Avg goals conceded1.68
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

RB Salzburg xG

Expected goals

1.7

AC Milan xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

RB Salzburg

RB Salzburg

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is RB Salzburg's current form?

RB Salzburg have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

RB Salzburg Win38%
Draw23%
AC Milan Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%