Match Analysis

Real SociedadvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
19%
21%
Real Sociedad winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
3.04Avg goals scored1.54
0.82Avg goals conceded2.19
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Real Sociedad xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lyon xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.0 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Sociedad's current form?

Real Sociedad have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Sociedad Win60%
Draw19%
Lyon Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.573%