Match Analysis

Sparta PraguevsAZ Alkmaar

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
24%
41%
Sparta Prague winDrawAZ Alkmaar win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.27Avg goals scored2.37
1.00Avg goals conceded0.59
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Sparta Prague xG

Expected goals

1.6

AZ Alkmaar xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Sparta Prague

Sparta Prague

DDWLW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar?

AZ Alkmaar is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sparta Prague's current form?

Sparta Prague have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sparta Prague Win35%
Draw24%
AZ Alkmaar Win41%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%