Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsLyon

UEL Europa League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
21%
29%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawLyon win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.95Avg goals scored1.54
1.55Avg goals conceded2.19
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

1.5

Lyon xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

2–2

7%

1–0

6%

1–2

6%

2–0

6%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Lyon

Lyon

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Lyon?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win50%
Draw21%
Lyon Win29%
BTTS68%
Over 2.570%